What is the intuition behind Bayes' theorem and when should I use it?
Bayes' theorem states:
I understand the formula, but I want to build intuition. Can someone explain:
- Why Bayes' theorem is so important in statistics and machine learning
- A concrete real-world example where using Bayes' theorem gives a counterintuitive result
- The difference between the Bayesian and frequentist interpretations of probability
A classic example is medical testing with rare diseases. How does the prior probability affect the posterior probability ?
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