Does always choosing C improve multiple-choice guessing?
My friend told me that on multiple choice tests, you should always guess "C" if you dont know the answer because "C is the most common correct answer."
I said this is nonsense because test makers randomize correct answer positions.
But then I looked at my last 3 exams:
- Exam 1 (40 questions): C was correct 13 times (32.5%)
- Exam 2 (50 questions): C was correct 11 times (22%)
- Exam 3 (30 questions): C was correct 9 times (30%)
So in 2 out of 3 exams, C was the most frequent correct answer!
Is this just random chance? Or do test makers subconsciously put correct answers in the middle?
Mathematically: If answers are uniformly random, the expected proportion for each letter is 25%. The standard deviation is .
For a 40-question test: , so 32.5% is about 1.1 standard deviations above expected. Thats not statistically significant at .
BUT my friend still insists. Whose right? Is there any bias in real-world test design?
fun fact: on the SAT, answer choice C is NOT more common. they use computerized randomization now.